Denis Shapovalov appears to be at some sort of crossroads in his young career already, hastened on by the rise and rise of 19-year-old Felix Auger-Aliassime, as he has the talent to break the top 20 but sometimes lacks the focus. He has beaten his first Cincinnati opponent Fabio Fognini once before at last years Rogers Cup, but that 100% record looks likely to half with the Italian in his renaissance year and gearing up for the fast-approaching US Open.
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Fognini was superb in Monaco as he defeated the likes of Rafael Nadal, Borna Coric and Alexander Zverev. During the win against Millman, Fabio Fognini returned exceptionally well as he won 5 break points. Fognini has continued his form at this tournament as he has not lost a single set all tournament. Fabio Fognini won his previous match in straight sets as he defeated John Millman from Australia. With all that in mind, this is expected to be a challenge for Fabio Fognini as he is playing a top-class opponent. It has been a very strong start to the clay season for Fabio Fognini as the Italian superstar won the Monte Carlo Masters.
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It also shows that he can do so effectively. Monfils will make him work, but Federer is swinging freely with no expectations. However, equally telling, Federer won almost 2/3 of points under 5 shots, and the vast majority of points in the match were 5 shots or less. This means that Federer must execute his hyper-aggressive game to win. The most telling stat from the Federer/Gasquet match was that Gasquet won the majority of points over five shots.
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The contest will be a thrilling match up of contrasting styles. Despite playing each other ten times (Wawrinka leads the head to head 6-4), this is only the second match these men have played on clay. Wawrinka has had greater success on clay, but Nishikoris is also a natural on the surface. Nishikori lost his last meeting with Wawrinka earlier this year in Rotterdam in a tight three set semifinal. Wawrinka is slowly putting together a strong run in Madrid, and a belting win against Nishikori would confirm him as a threat. Wawrinkas power against Nishikoris court craft, point construction, and speed.