Newport County vs Carlisle Match Prediction (05-10-2019 10:00)

Our Prediction:

Newport County

Will win



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Saturdays hosts have now scored in just two of their last six in League Two, while its not as if theyve been banging on the door during that time, as theyve posted some rather displeasing expected-goals for numbers of 1.11, 1.11, 1.12, 0.6, 0.88 and 0.98. Not many teams make light work of beating Newport, as we saw when Michael Flynns men took on numerous higher-level teams in the FA Cup, though theyre finding it very tough to get their heads in front, and this appears to be as a result of a lack of both creativity and forward potency.

Newport, whove scored just two in their last five at home, have struggled from an attacking point of view, of late, but theyve not given an awful lot away, as theyve shipped just a single goal in their last five at home. Such facts just add to the appeal of a supporting a low-scoring affair. Theyve also surrendered an average of just 0.97 expected goals at Rodney Parade this season.

Theyve also surrendered an average of just 0.97 expected goals at Rodney Parade this season. Newport, whove scored just two in their last five at home, have struggled from an attacking point of view, of late, but theyve not given an awful lot away, as theyve shipped just a single goal in their last five at home. Such facts just add to the appeal of a supporting a low-scoring affair.

Today's Tips

With around a third of the season played already, most sides have firmly established what their role will be this season. This weekend two sides who have been struggling for form of late come together as Carlisle United welcome a Newport County side who started the season in excellent shape but have come back down to earth with a bang in their recent outings.

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Carlisle emerged from that game with an expected goal difference of +0.85, while Newport came out of their game with MK Dons with an expected goal difference of -1.63. Prior to their pleasing effort away against a top-six side in Colchester, Carlisle scored twice (and recorded 1.62 expected goals for) at home against MK Dons. They did lose that match, though they performed far better against the Dons than Newport did last time out.

When you also consider the fact that Newport have seen both teams find the back of their net in each of their previous seven outings, we think that backing the same outcome in this fixture is the best way to get a decent return from this clash. Given that the hosts have struggled on home soil this season, they will be determined to put on a bit of a show for their faithful and bring a bit more confidence into the side.

However, while Carlisle have delivered a couple of decent efforts of late, theyve not been overly menacing from an attacking point of view on the road overall this season. When we consider this in conjunction with Newports recent attacking struggles, Under 2.5 Goals begins to stand out at the prices. The Blues have scored just three goals in their last four on the road, while theyve averaged just 0.92 expected goals for during that time and are only averaging 1.08 overall on their travels during the current campaign.

Carlisle vs Newport County Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews

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Not many teams make light work of beating Newport, as we saw when Michael Flynns men took on numerous higher-level teams in the FA Cup, though theyre finding it very tough to get their heads in front, and this appears to be as a result of a lack of both creativity and forward potency. Saturdays hosts have now scored in just two of their last six in League Two, while its not as if theyve been banging on the door during that time, as theyve posted some rather displeasing expected-goals for numbers of 1.11, 1.11, 1.12, 0.6, 0.88 and 0.98.

Carlisle United were left devastated as they conceded a winner six minutes into injury-time to lose 1-0 against Yeovil Town last weekend. It was a result which has been pretty typical of their season as the Cumbrians have struggled to be a threat up front, a fact which is especially apparent at home as they have failed to score in each of their previous five outings. The hosts, however, have scored six times in their previous three matches against Newport and they should have confidence to end their recent goal drought.

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